MathematicsDecember 26, 2024
Probability Probably Doesn’t Exist
All of statistics and much of science depends on probability—an astonishing achievement, considering no one’s really sure what it is
Stories by David Spiegelhalter
David Spiegelhalter is emeritus professor of statistics at the University of Cambridge, UK. He is the author of The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck (Penguin, 2024).
PolicySeptember 19, 2019
The Problem with Failing to Admit We Don’t Know
Although numbers are often treated as cold, hard facts, we should be willing to acknowledge how uncertain they can be